Golf · 3 June 2026
Updated 1:00am UTC+11:00
The Masters 2026
Augusta National Golf Club April 9–12, 2026 Augusta, Georgia Par 72 · 7,510 yds
#1
Scottie Scheffler
100 / 100
10.6% win
#2
Ludvig Åberg
84 / 100
0.0% win
#3
Matt Fitzpatrick
81 / 100
3.7% win
165
Field Size
0
With Odds
165
SG Data
0
Value Bets
Edge ≥ 8%
Fav Odds
Scottie Scheffler
Best Bets
🏆
🏆 Best Win Value
No qualifying bet found
📍
📍 Best Each Way
No qualifying bet found
Winner 0
Top 10
Make Cut
H2H 12
Group Bets 0
Augusta Profile
Rank Player OWGR Model Win % Win Odds Edge Top 10% Cut % Value
1
Scottie Scheffler
1 100 10.6% 29% 100%
PICK SCORE
95/100
Elite
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Multiple Masters champion (2 wins) — proven Augusta ability at the highest level. Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #15
+0.521
Putting #15
+0.506
Off-the-Tee #3
+0.697
Around-Green #4
+0.496
Tee-to-Green #1
+1.714
Total SG #1
+2.221
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.521 #15 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.506 #15 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.697 #3 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.496 #4 of 165 Strong
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+1.714 #1 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #29
313 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
63.8%
GIR % #1
73.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
10.6%
Top 5
22.6%
Top 10
29.2%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
2× champion
2
Wins
3
Top 5
3
Top 10
5
Starts
2
Ludvig Åberg
25 84 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
71/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Exceptional approach play is the #1 predictor at Augusta. If the putter gets warm this week, a green jacket is in play. Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #8
+0.627
Putting #52
+0.223
Off-the-Tee #12
+0.550
Around-Green #21
+0.315
Tee-to-Green #4
+1.492
Total SG #2
+1.715
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.627 #8 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.223 #52 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.550 #12 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.315 #21 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+1.492 #4 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #12
317 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
61.4%
GIR % #16
69.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
1 top-10s from 2 starts
0
Wins
1
Top 5
1
Top 10
2
Starts
3
Matt Fitzpatrick
21 81 3.7% 15% 100%
PICK SCORE
76/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Exceptional approach play is the #1 predictor at Augusta. If the putter gets warm this week, a green jacket is in play. Short-game excellence around these notoriously sloped greens is a genuine differentiator.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #4
+0.741
Putting #89
-0.041
Off-the-Tee #34
+0.360
Around-Green #8
+0.448
Tee-to-Green #2
+1.549
Total SG #4
+1.508
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.741 #4 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.041 #89 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.360 #34 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.448 #8 of 165 Strong
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+1.549 #2 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #56
307 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
68.3%
GIR % #7
70.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
3.7%
Top 5
10.6%
Top 10
14.6%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
1 top-10s from 5 starts
0
Wins
0
Top 5
1
Top 10
5
Starts
4
Cameron Young
3 79 4.7% 17% 100%
PICK SCORE
76/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #20
+0.453
Putting #48
+0.248
Off-the-Tee #6
+0.639
Around-Green #20
+0.319
Tee-to-Green #5
+1.412
Total SG #3
+1.660
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.453 #20 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.248 #48 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.639 #6 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.319 #20 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+1.412 #5 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #27
313 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
62.0%
GIR % #25
68.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
4.7%
Top 5
12.1%
Top 10
16.9%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
5
Si Woo Kim
35 78 3.1% 12% 100%
PICK SCORE
72/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Exceptional approach play is the #1 predictor at Augusta. If the putter gets warm this week, a green jacket is in play. Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #7
+0.673
Putting #106
-0.125
Off-the-Tee #15
+0.534
Around-Green #29
+0.286
Tee-to-Green #3
+1.493
Total SG #6
+1.369
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.673 #7 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.125 #106 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.534 #15 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.286 #29 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+1.493 #3 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #115
300 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
70.5%
GIR % #18
69.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
3.1%
Top 5
8.5%
Top 10
12.2%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
6 starts, no top-10
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
6
Starts
6
Adam Scott
38 77 1.6% 7% 100%
PICK SCORE
78/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Former Masters champion — knows how to win at Augusta and handle the back-nine pressure. Exceptional approach play is the #1 predictor at Augusta. If the putter gets warm this week, a green jacket is in play.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #2
+0.812
Putting #112
-0.175
Off-the-Tee #44
+0.266
Around-Green #86
+0.016
Tee-to-Green #10
+1.093
Total SG #19
+0.918
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.812 #2 of 165 Elite
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.175 #112 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.266 #44 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.016 #86 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+1.093 #10 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #20
314 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
58.4%
GIR % #11
70.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
1.6%
Top 5
4.4%
Top 10
6.9%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters champion
1
Wins
2
Top 5
5
Top 10
20
Starts
7
Collin Morikawa
4 76 2.0% 8% 100%
PICK SCORE
71/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
2 previous top-10s at Augusta — proven course form provides a real edge. Exceptional approach play is the #1 predictor at Augusta. If the putter gets warm this week, a green jacket is in play.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #1
+0.847
Putting #127
-0.299
Off-the-Tee #42
+0.304
Around-Green #45
+0.201
Tee-to-Green #6
+1.353
Total SG #14
+1.054
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.847 #1 of 165 Elite
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.299 #127 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.304 #42 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.201 #45 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+1.353 #6 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #85
304 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
66.6%
GIR % #15
69.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
2.0%
Top 5
5.6%
Top 10
8.3%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
2 top-10s from 5 starts
0
Wins
1
Top 5
2
Top 10
5
Starts
8
Xander Schauffele
2 75 2.5% 10% 100%
PICK SCORE
74/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Consistent Augusta performer (4 top-10s from 8 starts) — reliable contender type who thrives here. Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #29
+0.402
Putting #28
+0.380
Off-the-Tee #16
+0.512
Around-Green #101
-0.072
Tee-to-Green #17
+0.841
Total SG #9
+1.222
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.402 #29 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.380 #28 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.512 #16 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.072 #101 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.841 #17 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #18
315 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
58.6%
GIR % #29
68.4%
Model Probabilities
Win
2.5%
Top 5
7.3%
Top 10
10.5%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
4 top-10s from 8 starts
0
Wins
2
Top 5
4
Top 10
8
Starts
9
Brooks Koepka
10 74 1.3% 7% 100%
PICK SCORE
71/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
3 previous top-10s at Augusta — proven course form provides a real edge. Exceptional approach play is the #1 predictor at Augusta. If the putter gets warm this week, a green jacket is in play.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #3
+0.754
Putting #138
-0.364
Off-the-Tee #36
+0.344
Around-Green #48
+0.193
Tee-to-Green #7
+1.291
Total SG #18
+0.928
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.754 #3 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.364 #138 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.344 #36 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.193 #48 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+1.291 #7 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #28
313 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
56.0%
GIR % #2
70.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
1.3%
Top 5
4.6%
Top 10
7.2%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
3 top-10s from 9 starts
0
Wins
1
Top 5
3
Top 10
9
Starts
10
Nicolai Højgaard
7 73 2.6% 12% 100%
PICK SCORE
69/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #16
+0.499
Putting #51
+0.227
Off-the-Tee #24
+0.447
Around-Green #58
+0.128
Tee-to-Green #11
+1.073
Total SG #7
+1.300
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.499 #16 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.227 #51 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.447 #24 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.128 #58 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+1.073 #11 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #5
322 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
52.0%
GIR % #55
66.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
2.6%
Top 5
8.4%
Top 10
11.9%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
11
Jake Knapp
5 72 3.4% 14% 100%
PICK SCORE
70/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Putting is elite — a major asset on Augusta's fast Bermuda greens. Needs the ball-striking to keep up. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #23
+0.448
Putting #3
+0.744
Off-the-Tee #53
+0.207
Around-Green #77
+0.057
Tee-to-Green #23
+0.712
Total SG #5
+1.456
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.448 #23 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.744 #3 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.207 #53 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.057 #77 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.712 #23 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #10
320 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
58.9%
GIR % #77
66.0%
Model Probabilities
Win
3.4%
Top 5
9.8%
Top 10
14.2%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
12
Min Woo Lee
14 72 2.9% 12% 100%
PICK SCORE
69/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #70
+0.138
Putting #49
+0.234
Off-the-Tee #7
+0.631
Around-Green #28
+0.296
Tee-to-Green #12
+1.065
Total SG #8
+1.299
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.138 #70 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.234 #49 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.631 #7 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.296 #28 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+1.065 #12 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #8
320 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.2%
GIR % #80
65.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
2.9%
Top 5
8.0%
Top 10
11.5%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
13
Tommy Fleetwood
8 70 1.8% 8% 100%
PICK SCORE
67/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Short-game excellence around these notoriously sloped greens is a genuine differentiator.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #56
+0.248
Putting #93
-0.064
Off-the-Tee #30
+0.395
Around-Green #6
+0.473
Tee-to-Green #9
+1.117
Total SG #15
+1.053
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.248 #56 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.064 #93 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.395 #30 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.473 #6 of 165 Strong
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+1.117 #9 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #100
302 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
67.5%
GIR % #76
66.1%
Model Probabilities
Win
1.8%
Top 5
5.6%
Top 10
8.5%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
1 top-10s from 4 starts
0
Wins
1
Top 5
1
Top 10
4
Starts
14
Patrick Cantlay
6 69 1.7% 8% 100%
PICK SCORE
67/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
2 previous top-10s at Augusta — proven course form provides a real edge. Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #50
+0.271
Putting #96
-0.084
Off-the-Tee #25
+0.437
Around-Green #15
+0.355
Tee-to-Green #13
+1.064
Total SG #17
+0.980
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.271 #50 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.084 #96 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.437 #25 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.355 #15 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+1.064 #13 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #98
303 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.8%
GIR % #21
69.0%
Model Probabilities
Win
1.7%
Top 5
5.6%
Top 10
8.2%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
2 top-10s from 7 starts
0
Wins
0
Top 5
2
Top 10
7
Starts
15
Alex Smalley
11 69 0.0% 100% 100%
PICK SCORE
63/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #17
+0.479
Putting #30
+0.362
Off-the-Tee #54
+0.196
Around-Green #56
+0.135
Tee-to-Green #18
+0.809
Total SG #11
+1.171
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.479 #17 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.362 #30 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.196 #54 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.135 #56 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.809 #18 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #51
308 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
59.5%
GIR % #6
70.4%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
67.6%
Top 10
100.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
16
Chris Gotterup
10 69 2.2% 10% 100%
PICK SCORE
67/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #53
+0.261
Putting #40
+0.292
Off-the-Tee #9
+0.566
Around-Green #72
+0.065
Tee-to-Green #14
+0.892
Total SG #10
+1.183
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.261 #53 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.292 #40 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.566 #9 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.065 #72 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.892 #14 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #4
323 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
52.4%
GIR % #40
67.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
2.2%
Top 5
6.3%
Top 10
9.6%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
17
Hideki Matsuyama
11 68 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
70/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Former Masters champion — knows how to win at Augusta and handle the back-nine pressure. Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #14
+0.542
Putting #64
+0.126
Off-the-Tee #131
-0.256
Around-Green #19
+0.322
Tee-to-Green #27
+0.608
Total SG #29
+0.734
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.542 #14 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.126 #64 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.256 #131 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.322 #19 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.608 #27 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #91
303 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.4%
GIR % #82
65.7%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters champion
1
Wins
1
Top 5
4
Top 10
10
Starts
18
Russell Henley
28 67 37.3% 100% 100%
PICK SCORE
71/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #46
+0.288
Putting #39
+0.300
Off-the-Tee #49
+0.232
Around-Green #33
+0.251
Tee-to-Green #21
+0.771
Total SG #13
+1.071
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.288 #46 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.300 #39 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.232 #49 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.251 #33 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.771 #21 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #145
294 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
71.8%
GIR % #47
67.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
37.3%
Top 5
99.8%
Top 10
100.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
1 top-10s from 6 starts
0
Wins
0
Top 5
1
Top 10
6
Starts
19
Jordan Spieth
18 67 0.9% 5% 100%
PICK SCORE
72/100
Strong
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Former Masters champion — knows how to win at Augusta and handle the back-nine pressure. Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #69
+0.148
Putting #41
+0.285
Off-the-Tee #64
+0.129
Around-Green #65
+0.095
Tee-to-Green #49
+0.372
Total SG #35
+0.657
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.148 #69 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.285 #41 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.129 #64 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.095 #65 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.372 #49 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #36
310 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
58.4%
GIR % #67
66.4%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.9%
Top 5
3.0%
Top 10
4.7%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters champion
1
Wins
3
Top 5
6
Top 10
13
Starts
20
Kurt Kitayama
25 66 1.2% 6% 100%
PICK SCORE
64/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Exceptional approach play is the #1 predictor at Augusta. If the putter gets warm this week, a green jacket is in play. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #5
+0.719
Putting #104
-0.115
Off-the-Tee #40
+0.319
Around-Green #120
-0.147
Tee-to-Green #15
+0.891
Total SG #25
+0.776
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.719 #5 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.115 #104 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.319 #40 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.147 #120 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.891 #15 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #15
316 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
61.0%
GIR % #4
70.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
1.2%
Top 5
4.0%
Top 10
6.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
21
J.J. Spaun
34 66 0.0% 85% 100%
PICK SCORE
62/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Exceptional approach play is the #1 predictor at Augusta. If the putter gets warm this week, a green jacket is in play. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #6
+0.686
Putting #153
-0.495
Off-the-Tee #39
+0.328
Around-Green #54
+0.153
Tee-to-Green #8
+1.167
Total SG #34
+0.672
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.686 #6 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.495 #153 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.328 #39 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.153 #54 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+1.167 #8 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #106
302 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
64.8%
GIR % #33
68.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
85.4%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
22
Akshay Bhatia
12 64 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
61/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Putting is elite — a major asset on Augusta's fast Bermuda greens. Needs the ball-striking to keep up. Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #36
+0.342
Putting #4
+0.718
Off-the-Tee #130
-0.255
Around-Green #26
+0.299
Tee-to-Green #46
+0.386
Total SG #12
+1.104
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.342 #36 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.718 #4 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.255 #130 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.299 #26 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.386 #46 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #103
302 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
56.0%
GIR % #98
65.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
23
Jacob Bridgeman
16 63 1.8% 9% 100%
PICK SCORE
63/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Putting is elite — a major asset on Augusta's fast Bermuda greens. Needs the ball-striking to keep up. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #48
+0.282
Putting #2
+0.837
Off-the-Tee #73
+0.064
Around-Green #116
-0.139
Tee-to-Green #69
+0.207
Total SG #16
+1.044
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.282 #48 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.837 #2 of 165 Elite
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.064 #73 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.139 #116 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.207 #69 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #61
306 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
59.6%
GIR % #41
67.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
1.8%
Top 5
5.9%
Top 10
8.8%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
24
Shane Lowry
12 62 1.0% 6% 100%
PICK SCORE
63/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
2 previous top-10s at Augusta — proven course form provides a real edge. Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #65
+0.182
Putting #25
+0.412
Off-the-Tee #51
+0.222
Around-Green #99
-0.068
Tee-to-Green #53
+0.337
Total SG #27
+0.749
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.182 #65 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.412 #25 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.222 #51 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.068 #99 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.337 #53 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #117
300 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
62.2%
GIR % #43
67.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
1.0%
Top 5
3.5%
Top 10
5.6%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
2 top-10s from 7 starts
0
Wins
1
Top 5
2
Top 10
7
Starts
25
Ryo Hisatsune
33 62 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
60/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #37
+0.342
Putting #103
-0.114
Off-the-Tee #27
+0.416
Around-Green #82
+0.035
Tee-to-Green #20
+0.793
Total SG #33
+0.680
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.342 #37 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.114 #103 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.416 #27 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.035 #82 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.793 #20 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #77
304 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
62.7%
GIR % #10
70.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
26
Gary Woodland
23 62 0.0% 69% 100%
PICK SCORE
59/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #60
+0.216
Putting #33
+0.347
Off-the-Tee #8
+0.630
Around-Green #154
-0.390
Tee-to-Green #37
+0.455
Total SG #23
+0.801
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.216 #60 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.347 #33 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.630 #8 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.390 #154 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.455 #37 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #3
324 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.4%
GIR % #59
66.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
69.1%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
27
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
26 61 0.1% 2% 100%
PICK SCORE
59/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #51
+0.265
Putting #47
+0.251
Off-the-Tee #33
+0.364
Around-Green #112
-0.113
Tee-to-Green #33
+0.516
Total SG #26
+0.767
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.265 #51 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.251 #47 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.364 #33 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.113 #112 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.516 #33 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #23
314 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
61.3%
GIR % #65
66.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.1%
Top 5
0.9%
Top 10
1.9%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
28
Mac Meissner
22 61 0.0% 100% 100%
PICK SCORE
59/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #44
+0.301
Putting #43
+0.278
Off-the-Tee #89
-0.011
Around-Green #34
+0.251
Tee-to-Green #31
+0.542
Total SG #22
+0.820
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.301 #44 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.278 #43 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.011 #89 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.251 #34 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.542 #31 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #70
305 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
54.3%
GIR % #48
67.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
39.0%
Top 10
99.8%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
29
Sepp Straka
31 61 0.7% 4% 100%
PICK SCORE
60/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Exceptional approach play is the #1 predictor at Augusta. If the putter gets warm this week, a green jacket is in play. Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #9
+0.610
Putting #82
+0.001
Off-the-Tee #95
-0.052
Around-Green #90
+0.002
Tee-to-Green #29
+0.560
Total SG #44
+0.561
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.610 #9 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.001 #82 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.052 #95 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.002 #90 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.560 #29 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #94
303 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.5%
GIR % #66
66.4%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.7%
Top 5
2.6%
Top 10
4.3%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
2 starts, no top-10
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
2
Starts
30
Ryan Gerard
38 61 0.0% 2% 100%
PICK SCORE
59/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Exceptional approach play is the #1 predictor at Augusta. If the putter gets warm this week, a green jacket is in play. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #10
+0.608
Putting #59
+0.181
Off-the-Tee #63
+0.130
Around-Green #148
-0.311
Tee-to-Green #40
+0.427
Total SG #38
+0.608
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.608 #10 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.181 #59 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.130 #63 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.311 #148 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.427 #40 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #84
304 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
62.5%
GIR % #35
68.1%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
1.5%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
31
Rickie Fowler
24 60 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
58/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #59
+0.217
Putting #24
+0.413
Off-the-Tee #45
+0.258
Around-Green #108
-0.105
Tee-to-Green #50
+0.371
Total SG #24
+0.784
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.217 #59 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.413 #24 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.258 #45 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.105 #108 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.371 #50 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #78
304 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
62.3%
GIR % #53
67.0%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.1%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
32
Keith Mitchell
45 60 0.1% 1% 100%
PICK SCORE
59/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #58
+0.222
Putting #123
-0.284
Off-the-Tee #4
+0.668
Around-Green #104
-0.081
Tee-to-Green #19
+0.809
Total SG #45
+0.525
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.222 #58 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.284 #123 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.668 #4 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.081 #104 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.809 #19 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #24
314 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
55.9%
GIR % #17
69.4%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.1%
Top 5
0.4%
Top 10
0.7%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
33
Aaron Rai
42 59 0.7% 4% 100%
PICK SCORE
59/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #25
+0.435
Putting #71
+0.048
Off-the-Tee #76
+0.050
Around-Green #79
+0.046
Tee-to-Green #32
+0.531
Total SG #42
+0.579
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.435 #25 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.048 #71 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.050 #76 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.046 #79 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.531 #32 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #154
291 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
69.3%
GIR % #8
70.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.7%
Top 5
2.7%
Top 10
4.4%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
34
Doug Ghim
40 59 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
58/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #94
+0.007
Putting #118
-0.250
Off-the-Tee #13
+0.536
Around-Green #24
+0.303
Tee-to-Green #16
+0.846
Total SG #40
+0.596
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.007 #94 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.250 #118 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.536 #13 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.303 #24 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.846 #16 of 165 Elite
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #105
302 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
61.7%
GIR % #34
68.1%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
35
Nick Taylor
38 59 0.9% 5% 100%
PICK SCORE
60/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Short-game excellence around these notoriously sloped greens is a genuine differentiator.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #31
+0.379
Putting #84
-0.008
Off-the-Tee #119
-0.199
Around-Green #10
+0.436
Tee-to-Green #26
+0.616
Total SG #39
+0.608
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.379 #31 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.008 #84 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.199 #119 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.436 #10 of 165 Strong
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.616 #26 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #135
297 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
61.9%
GIR % #68
66.4%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.9%
Top 5
3.0%
Top 10
4.7%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
36
Maverick McNealy
20 59 1.2% 7% 100%
PICK SCORE
60/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #104
-0.083
Putting #22
+0.433
Off-the-Tee #50
+0.230
Around-Green #31
+0.272
Tee-to-Green #43
+0.419
Total SG #20
+0.853
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.083 #104 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.433 #22 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.230 #50 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.272 #31 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.419 #43 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #43
310 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
55.1%
GIR % #100
65.0%
Model Probabilities
Win
1.2%
Top 5
4.1%
Top 10
6.6%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
37
Wyndham Clark
47 58 0.7% 4% 100%
PICK SCORE
59/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #24
+0.440
Putting #80
+0.016
Off-the-Tee #93
-0.044
Around-Green #63
+0.101
Tee-to-Green #34
+0.497
Total SG #47
+0.513
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.440 #24 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.016 #80 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.044 #93 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.101 #63 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.497 #34 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #44
309 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
59.2%
GIR % #54
66.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.7%
Top 5
2.4%
Top 10
3.9%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
38
Sam Ryder
43 58 0.1% 1% 100%
PICK SCORE
58/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Elite approach-putting combo — the ideal Augusta profile. Few players combine approach excellence with Bermuda green putting at this level. Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #12
+0.606
Putting #20
+0.466
Off-the-Tee #127
-0.240
Around-Green #141
-0.263
Tee-to-Green #83
+0.103
Total SG #43
+0.570
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.606 #12 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.466 #20 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.240 #127 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.263 #141 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.103 #83 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #127
298 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.3%
GIR % #36
68.0%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.1%
Top 5
0.4%
Top 10
0.8%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
39
Daniel Berger
55 57 0.5% 3% 100%
PICK SCORE
58/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Exceptional approach play is the #1 predictor at Augusta. If the putter gets warm this week, a green jacket is in play. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #11
+0.608
Putting #74
+0.034
Off-the-Tee #87
+0.004
Around-Green #138
-0.253
Tee-to-Green #52
+0.359
Total SG #55
+0.393
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.608 #11 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.034 #74 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.004 #87 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.253 #138 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.359 #52 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #54
308 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
61.6%
GIR % #19
69.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.5%
Top 5
2.1%
Top 10
3.4%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
40
Jordan Smith
64 57 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
58/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #28
+0.410
Putting #145
-0.420
Off-the-Tee #21
+0.478
Around-Green #125
-0.197
Tee-to-Green #24
+0.691
Total SG #64
+0.272
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.410 #28 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.420 #145 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.478 #21 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.197 #125 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.691 #24 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #35
311 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
62.8%
GIR % #5
70.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
41
Robert MacIntyre
23 57 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
57/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Putting is elite — a major asset on Augusta's fast Bermuda greens. Needs the ball-striking to keep up. Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #137
-0.397
Putting #8
+0.604
Off-the-Tee #11
+0.554
Around-Green #75
+0.060
Tee-to-Green #67
+0.217
Total SG #21
+0.821
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.397 #137 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.604 #8 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.554 #11 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.060 #75 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.217 #67 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #73
305 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
62.2%
GIR % #112
64.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
1 starts, no top-10
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
1
Starts
42
Brandt Snedeker
31 57 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
57/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Short-game excellence around these notoriously sloped greens is a genuine differentiator.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #32
+0.357
Putting #21
+0.465
Off-the-Tee #158
-0.707
Around-Green #1
+0.590
Tee-to-Green #65
+0.241
Total SG #31
+0.706
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.357 #32 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.465 #21 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.707 #158 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.590 #1 of 165 Strong
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.241 #65 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #165
281 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
64.4%
GIR % #99
65.0%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
43
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
28 57 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
57/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #66
+0.178
Putting #10
+0.556
Off-the-Tee #138
-0.322
Around-Green #17
+0.327
Tee-to-Green #72
+0.184
Total SG #28
+0.740
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.178 #66 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.556 #10 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.322 #138 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.327 #17 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.184 #72 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #159
290 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.7%
GIR % #97
65.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
44
Justin Thomas
46 57 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
57/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #72
+0.124
Putting #90
-0.048
Off-the-Tee #59
+0.140
Around-Green #25
+0.303
Tee-to-Green #28
+0.568
Total SG #46
+0.519
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.124 #72 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.048 #90 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.140 #59 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.303 #25 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.568 #28 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #39
310 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
58.9%
GIR % #138
62.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
45
Justin Rose
61 56 0.5% 3% 100%
PICK SCORE
62/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Consistent Augusta performer (4 top-10s from 20 starts) — reliable contender type who thrives here. Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #18
+0.475
Putting #61
+0.167
Off-the-Tee #126
-0.230
Around-Green #105
-0.083
Tee-to-Green #75
+0.161
Total SG #61
+0.329
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.475 #18 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.167 #61 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.230 #126 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.083 #105 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.161 #75 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #59
307 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
59.4%
GIR % #12
70.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.5%
Top 5
1.9%
Top 10
3.1%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
4 top-10s from 20 starts
0
Wins
1
Top 5
4
Top 10
20
Starts
46
Zach Bauchou
52 56 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
57/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #33
+0.357
Putting #75
+0.026
Off-the-Tee #112
-0.139
Around-Green #42
+0.209
Tee-to-Green #41
+0.427
Total SG #52
+0.453
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.357 #33 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.026 #75 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.139 #112 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.209 #42 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.427 #41 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #108
302 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
55.5%
GIR % #45
67.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
47
Alex Noren
36 56 1.1% 5% 100%
PICK SCORE
58/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #63
+0.192
Putting #14
+0.510
Off-the-Tee #113
-0.148
Around-Green #67
+0.092
Tee-to-Green #76
+0.137
Total SG #36
+0.647
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.192 #63 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.510 #14 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.148 #113 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.092 #67 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.137 #76 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #151
293 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
63.8%
GIR % #90
65.4%
Model Probabilities
Win
1.1%
Top 5
3.5%
Top 10
5.3%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
48
Harris English
30 56 0.9% 5% 100%
PICK SCORE
58/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #115
-0.162
Putting #18
+0.491
Off-the-Tee #38
+0.334
Around-Green #80
+0.044
Tee-to-Green #68
+0.216
Total SG #30
+0.708
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.162 #115 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.491 #18 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.334 #38 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.044 #80 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.216 #68 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #76
305 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
62.2%
GIR % #63
66.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.9%
Top 5
3.3%
Top 10
5.3%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
49
Eric Cole
32 56 0.0% 100% 100%
PICK SCORE
57/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Short-game excellence around these notoriously sloped greens is a genuine differentiator.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #40
+0.320
Putting #9
+0.579
Off-the-Tee #159
-0.709
Around-Green #5
+0.494
Tee-to-Green #82
+0.105
Total SG #32
+0.684
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.320 #40 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.579 #9 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.709 #159 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.494 #5 of 165 Strong
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.105 #82 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #123
299 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
49.8%
GIR % #124
63.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
95.4%
Top 10
100.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
50
Max McGreevy
74 55 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
56/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #30
+0.400
Putting #160
-0.584
Off-the-Tee #48
+0.245
Around-Green #66
+0.094
Tee-to-Green #22
+0.740
Total SG #74
+0.156
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.400 #30 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.584 #160 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.245 #48 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.094 #66 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.740 #22 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #133
297 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
64.3%
GIR % #23
69.0%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
51
Viktor Hovland
5 55 0.4% 3% 100%
PICK SCORE
57/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #42
+0.314
Putting #94
-0.082
Off-the-Tee #110
-0.131
Around-Green #46
+0.196
Tee-to-Green #47
+0.380
Total SG #63
+0.298
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.314 #42 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.082 #94 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.131 #110 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.196 #46 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.380 #47 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #109
302 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
64.7%
GIR % #115
64.4%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.4%
Top 5
1.8%
Top 10
2.8%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
4 starts, no top-10
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
4
Starts
52
Corey Conners
27 55 0.4% 2% 100%
PICK SCORE
58/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #21
+0.452
Putting #122
-0.282
Off-the-Tee #65
+0.128
Around-Green #118
-0.146
Tee-to-Green #38
+0.435
Total SG #75
+0.153
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.452 #21 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.282 #122 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.128 #65 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.146 #118 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.435 #38 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #107
302 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
68.9%
GIR % #64
66.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.4%
Top 5
1.4%
Top 10
2.2%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
1 top-10s from 5 starts
0
Wins
0
Top 5
1
Top 10
5
Starts
53
Pierceson Coody
51 55 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
56/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #75
+0.112
Putting #42
+0.282
Off-the-Tee #22
+0.474
Around-Green #157
-0.413
Tee-to-Green #74
+0.173
Total SG #51
+0.455
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.112 #75 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.282 #42 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.474 #22 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.413 #157 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.173 #74 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #13
316 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.5%
GIR % #42
67.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
54
Andrew Putnam
49 54 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
56/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Short-game excellence around these notoriously sloped greens is a genuine differentiator.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #49
+0.278
Putting #58
+0.182
Off-the-Tee #154
-0.517
Around-Green #3
+0.558
Tee-to-Green #57
+0.319
Total SG #49
+0.501
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.278 #49 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.182 #58 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.517 #154 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.558 #3 of 165 Strong
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.319 #57 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #164
283 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
69.3%
GIR % #103
64.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
55
Ryan Fox
59 54 0.6% 3% 100%
PICK SCORE
57/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #87
+0.035
Putting #108
-0.131
Off-the-Tee #32
+0.371
Around-Green #71
+0.069
Tee-to-Green #35
+0.476
Total SG #59
+0.345
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.035 #87 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.131 #108 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.371 #32 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.069 #71 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.476 #35 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #21
314 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
54.6%
GIR % #120
64.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.6%
Top 5
1.9%
Top 10
3.1%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
56
Sahith Theegala
50 54 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
56/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #73
+0.118
Putting #65
+0.118
Off-the-Tee #107
-0.119
Around-Green #16
+0.338
Tee-to-Green #54
+0.337
Total SG #50
+0.456
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.118 #73 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.118 #65 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.119 #107 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.338 #16 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.337 #54 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #57
307 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
56.3%
GIR % #102
64.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
57
Austin Smotherman
87 54 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
56/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #13
+0.582
Putting #125
-0.297
Off-the-Tee #41
+0.315
Around-Green #161
-0.530
Tee-to-Green #51
+0.367
Total SG #87
+0.070
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.582 #13 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.297 #125 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.315 #41 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.530 #161 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.367 #51 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #104
302 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
64.8%
GIR % #44
67.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
58
Haotong Li
67 54 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
56/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #47
+0.287
Putting #111
-0.162
Off-the-Tee #31
+0.385
Around-Green #145
-0.293
Tee-to-Green #48
+0.379
Total SG #67
+0.218
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.287 #47 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.162 #111 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.385 #31 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.293 #145 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.379 #48 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #37
310 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
58.8%
GIR % #9
70.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.1%
Top 10
0.2%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
59
Davis Thompson
84 54 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
56/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #35
+0.343
Putting #161
-0.590
Off-the-Tee #52
+0.213
Around-Green #57
+0.133
Tee-to-Green #25
+0.688
Total SG #84
+0.098
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.343 #35 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.590 #161 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.213 #52 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.133 #57 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.688 #25 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #66
306 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
59.5%
GIR % #26
68.7%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
60
Zecheng Dou
60 54 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
56/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #27
+0.417
Putting #78
+0.018
Off-the-Tee #144
-0.417
Around-Green #22
+0.314
Tee-to-Green #58
+0.314
Total SG #60
+0.332
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.417 #27 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.018 #78 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.417 #144 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.314 #22 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.314 #58 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #45
309 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
49.8%
GIR % #49
67.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.2%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
61
Tom Kim
69 53 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
55/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #26
+0.425
Putting #119
-0.266
Off-the-Tee #109
-0.128
Around-Green #53
+0.165
Tee-to-Green #36
+0.461
Total SG #69
+0.195
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.425 #26 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.266 #119 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.128 #109 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.165 #53 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.461 #36 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #110
302 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
62.4%
GIR % #31
68.4%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
62
Bud Cauley
70 53 0.3% 2% 100%
PICK SCORE
56/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #39
+0.336
Putting #141
-0.383
Off-the-Tee #85
+0.013
Around-Green #43
+0.209
Tee-to-Green #30
+0.559
Total SG #70
+0.175
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.336 #39 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.383 #141 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.013 #85 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.209 #43 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.559 #30 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #87
303 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
59.7%
GIR % #71
66.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.3%
Top 5
1.3%
Top 10
2.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
63
Matt Wallace
56 53 0.5% 3% 100%
PICK SCORE
56/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #78
+0.108
Putting #70
+0.049
Off-the-Tee #78
+0.034
Around-Green #49
+0.182
Tee-to-Green #55
+0.325
Total SG #56
+0.374
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.108 #78 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.049 #70 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.034 #78 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.182 #49 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.325 #55 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #79
304 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.2%
GIR % #128
63.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.5%
Top 5
1.9%
Top 10
3.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
64
Rasmus Højgaard
54 53 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
55/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #88
+0.035
Putting #57
+0.190
Off-the-Tee #43
+0.278
Around-Green #111
-0.109
Tee-to-Green #70
+0.205
Total SG #54
+0.394
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.035 #88 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.190 #57 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.278 #43 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.109 #111 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.205 #70 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #6
321 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
50.0%
GIR % #24
68.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
65
Sam Burns
26 52 0.7% 4% 100%
PICK SCORE
56/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Putting is elite — a major asset on Augusta's fast Bermuda greens. Needs the ball-striking to keep up. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #106
-0.090
Putting #6
+0.670
Off-the-Tee #58
+0.166
Around-Green #136
-0.241
Tee-to-Green #102
-0.165
Total SG #48
+0.505
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.090 #106 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.670 #6 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.166 #58 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.241 #136 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.165 #102 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #19
315 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
55.0%
GIR % #50
67.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.7%
Top 5
2.5%
Top 10
3.9%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
3 starts, no top-10
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
3
Starts
66
Johnny Keefer
94 52 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
55/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #34
+0.352
Putting #142
-0.402
Off-the-Tee #14
+0.536
Around-Green #160
-0.478
Tee-to-Green #44
+0.410
Total SG #94
+0.008
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.352 #34 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.402 #142 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.536 #14 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.478 #160 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.410 #44 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #11
318 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.5%
GIR % #3
70.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
67
Sam Stevens
76 52 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
55/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #61
+0.197
Putting #120
-0.269
Off-the-Tee #46
+0.257
Around-Green #93
-0.035
Tee-to-Green #42
+0.420
Total SG #76
+0.150
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.197 #61 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.269 #120 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.257 #46 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.035 #93 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.420 #42 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #34
311 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.3%
GIR % #30
68.4%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
68
Beau Hossler
37 52 0.0% 1% 100%
PICK SCORE
54/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Putting is elite — a major asset on Augusta's fast Bermuda greens. Needs the ball-striking to keep up. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #132
-0.327
Putting #5
+0.700
Off-the-Tee #75
+0.056
Around-Green #40
+0.213
Tee-to-Green #95
-0.058
Total SG #37
+0.643
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.327 #132 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.700 #5 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.056 #75 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.213 #40 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.058 #95 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #120
299 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.9%
GIR % #121
64.1%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.3%
Top 10
0.7%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
69
Ben Griffin
41 51 0.0% 99% 100%
PICK SCORE
54/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #131
-0.300
Putting #16
+0.499
Off-the-Tee #101
-0.061
Around-Green #9
+0.445
Tee-to-Green #84
+0.085
Total SG #41
+0.583
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.300 #131 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.499 #16 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.061 #101 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.445 #9 of 165 Strong
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.085 #84 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #89
303 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
61.1%
GIR % #84
65.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
11.9%
Top 10
98.7%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
70
Austin Eckroat
81 51 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
54/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #22
+0.449
Putting #88
-0.025
Off-the-Tee #120
-0.200
Around-Green #113
-0.119
Tee-to-Green #78
+0.130
Total SG #81
+0.105
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.449 #22 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.025 #88 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.200 #120 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.119 #113 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.130 #78 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #119
299 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
58.1%
GIR % #88
65.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
71
David Ford
77 51 0.3% 2% 100%
PICK SCORE
54/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #77
+0.109
Putting #92
-0.055
Off-the-Tee #35
+0.351
Around-Green #140
-0.256
Tee-to-Green #71
+0.205
Total SG #77
+0.149
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.109 #77 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.055 #92 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.351 #35 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.256 #140 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.205 #71 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #63
306 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
62.8%
GIR % #75
66.1%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.3%
Top 5
1.3%
Top 10
2.3%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
72
Adrien Dumont de Chassart
57 50 0.0% 1% 100%
PICK SCORE
54/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #110
-0.118
Putting #67
+0.099
Off-the-Tee #115
-0.184
Around-Green #2
+0.569
Tee-to-Green #62
+0.266
Total SG #57
+0.366
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.118 #110 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.099 #67 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.184 #115 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.569 #2 of 165 Strong
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.266 #62 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #38
310 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
53.1%
GIR % #116
64.4%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.2%
Top 10
0.6%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
73
Kristoffer Reitan
66 50 0.5% 2% 100%
PICK SCORE
55/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #123
-0.201
Putting #100
-0.097
Off-the-Tee #19
+0.504
Around-Green #84
+0.022
Tee-to-Green #56
+0.325
Total SG #66
+0.227
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.201 #123 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.097 #100 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.504 #19 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.022 #84 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.325 #56 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #25
314 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
56.3%
GIR % #85
65.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.5%
Top 5
1.5%
Top 10
2.5%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
74
John Parry
89 50 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
54/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #38
+0.340
Putting #113
-0.202
Off-the-Tee #114
-0.152
Around-Green #74
+0.061
Tee-to-Green #64
+0.249
Total SG #89
+0.047
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.340 #38 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.202 #113 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.152 #114 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.061 #74 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.249 #64 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #129
298 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
59.7%
GIR % #13
70.0%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
75
Taylor Moore
53 50 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
54/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #144
-0.497
Putting #37
+0.308
Off-the-Tee #23
+0.464
Around-Green #52
+0.168
Tee-to-Green #77
+0.134
Total SG #53
+0.442
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.497 #144 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.308 #37 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.464 #23 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.168 #52 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.134 #77 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #30
313 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
53.1%
GIR % #140
62.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
76
Harry Hall
62 49 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
54/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #99
-0.058
Putting #54
+0.204
Off-the-Tee #132
-0.256
Around-Green #11
+0.426
Tee-to-Green #81
+0.112
Total SG #62
+0.316
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.058 #99 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.204 #54 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.256 #132 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.426 #11 of 165 Strong
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.112 #81 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #88
303 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.7%
GIR % #118
64.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.1%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
77
Andrew Novak
97 49 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
54/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #54
+0.253
Putting #154
-0.498
Off-the-Tee #98
-0.056
Around-Green #37
+0.235
Tee-to-Green #39
+0.432
Total SG #97
-0.066
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.253 #54 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.498 #154 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.056 #98 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.235 #37 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.432 #39 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #95
303 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.7%
GIR % #111
64.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
78
Michael Thorbjornsen
88 49 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
54/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #102
-0.082
Putting #133
-0.350
Off-the-Tee #47
+0.257
Around-Green #38
+0.225
Tee-to-Green #45
+0.400
Total SG #88
+0.050
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.082 #102 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.350 #133 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.257 #47 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.225 #38 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.400 #45 of 165 Strong
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #22
314 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.2%
GIR % #57
66.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
79
Michael Brennan
98 48 0.0% 45% 100%
PICK SCORE
54/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #93
+0.014
Putting #126
-0.298
Off-the-Tee #2
+0.776
Around-Green #162
-0.561
Tee-to-Green #66
+0.230
Total SG #98
-0.068
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.014 #93 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.298 #126 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.776 #2 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.561 #162 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.230 #66 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #2
325 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.9%
GIR % #86
65.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
45.1%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
80
Thorbjørn Olesen
96 48 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
53/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #71
+0.138
Putting #124
-0.289
Off-the-Tee #56
+0.174
Around-Green #98
-0.056
Tee-to-Green #63
+0.256
Total SG #96
-0.033
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.138 #71 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.289 #124 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.174 #56 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.056 #98 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.256 #63 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #97
303 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
54.4%
GIR % #104
64.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
81
A.J. Ewart
58 48 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
53/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Putting is elite — a major asset on Augusta's fast Bermuda greens. Needs the ball-striking to keep up. Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #113
-0.138
Putting #7
+0.608
Off-the-Tee #108
-0.123
Around-Green #85
+0.018
Tee-to-Green #114
-0.243
Total SG #58
+0.365
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.138 #113 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.608 #7 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.123 #108 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.018 #85 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.243 #114 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #96
303 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
56.1%
GIR % #37
67.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
82
Stephan Jaeger
65 48 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
53/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #119
-0.188
Putting #62
+0.163
Off-the-Tee #96
-0.053
Around-Green #18
+0.325
Tee-to-Green #85
+0.084
Total SG #65
+0.247
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.188 #119 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.163 #62 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.053 #96 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.325 #18 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.084 #85 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #26
313 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
48.5%
GIR % #95
65.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
83
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
80 48 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
53/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #108
-0.108
Putting #66
+0.109
Off-the-Tee #28
+0.414
Around-Green #147
-0.305
Tee-to-Green #90
+0.001
Total SG #80
+0.110
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.108 #108 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.109 #66 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.414 #28 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.305 #147 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.001 #90 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #69
305 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.3%
GIR % #108
64.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
84
Lee Hodges
91 48 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
53/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #74
+0.113
Putting #77
+0.023
Off-the-Tee #55
+0.179
Around-Green #144
-0.291
Tee-to-Green #91
+0.001
Total SG #91
+0.024
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.113 #74 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.023 #77 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.179 #55 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.291 #144 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.001 #91 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #125
298 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
65.1%
GIR % #60
66.7%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
85
Chris Kirk
103 47 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
53/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #62
+0.194
Putting #144
-0.406
Off-the-Tee #84
+0.019
Around-Green #69
+0.083
Tee-to-Green #60
+0.296
Total SG #103
-0.109
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.194 #62 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.406 #144 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.019 #84 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.083 #69 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.296 #60 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #80
304 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.3%
GIR % #70
66.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
86
Jackson Suber
110 47 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
53/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #19
+0.472
Putting #143
-0.404
Off-the-Tee #116
-0.187
Around-Green #109
-0.106
Tee-to-Green #73
+0.179
Total SG #110
-0.225
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.472 #19 of 165 Strong
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.404 #143 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.187 #116 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.106 #109 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.179 #73 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #112
301 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
56.4%
GIR % #22
69.0%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
87
Sungjae Im
22 47 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
54/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
2 previous top-10s at Augusta — proven course form provides a real edge. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #150
-0.536
Putting #53
+0.206
Off-the-Tee #69
+0.080
Around-Green #12
+0.419
Tee-to-Green #93
-0.038
Total SG #71
+0.168
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.536 #150 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.206 #53 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.080 #69 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.419 #12 of 165 Strong
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.038 #93 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #81
304 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
59.3%
GIR % #157
60.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
2 top-10s from 5 starts
0
Wins
1
Top 5
2
Top 10
5
Starts
88
Matt McCarty
93 47 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
52/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #67
+0.164
Putting #63
+0.133
Off-the-Tee #100
-0.057
Around-Green #133
-0.225
Tee-to-Green #99
-0.118
Total SG #93
+0.016
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.164 #67 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.133 #63 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.057 #100 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.225 #133 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.118 #99 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #126
298 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
61.9%
GIR % #125
63.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
89
Tony Finau
15 46 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
56/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Consistent Augusta performer (4 top-10s from 8 starts) — reliable contender type who thrives here. Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #107
-0.090
Putting #95
-0.082
Off-the-Tee #133
-0.274
Around-Green #14
+0.373
Tee-to-Green #89
+0.009
Total SG #100
-0.074
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.090 #107 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.082 #95 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.274 #133 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.373 #14 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.009 #89 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #60
307 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
51.6%
GIR % #150
61.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.1%
Top 10
0.2%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
4 top-10s from 8 starts
0
Wins
0
Top 5
4
Top 10
8
Starts
90
Taylor Pendrith
105 46 0.1% 1% 100%
PICK SCORE
53/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #95
+0.007
Putting #146
-0.423
Off-the-Tee #37
+0.338
Around-Green #102
-0.072
Tee-to-Green #61
+0.274
Total SG #105
-0.150
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.007 #95 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.423 #146 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.338 #37 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.072 #102 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.274 #61 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #31
313 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.2%
GIR % #20
69.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.1%
Top 5
0.8%
Top 10
1.3%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
91
Keegan Bradley
24 46 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
52/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #117
-0.174
Putting #85
-0.011
Off-the-Tee #81
+0.026
Around-Green #47
+0.195
Tee-to-Green #87
+0.047
Total SG #90
+0.036
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.174 #117 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.011 #85 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.026 #81 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.195 #47 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.047 #87 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #52
308 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.3%
GIR % #113
64.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
9 starts, no top-10
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
9
Starts
92
Rico Hoey
102 46 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
52/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #101
-0.081
Putting #115
-0.227
Off-the-Tee #26
+0.432
Around-Green #131
-0.222
Tee-to-Green #79
+0.129
Total SG #102
-0.098
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.081 #101 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.227 #115 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.432 #26 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.222 #131 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.129 #79 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #46
309 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.2%
GIR % #101
65.0%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
93
Michael Kim
68 45 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
52/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #97
-0.048
Putting #11
+0.551
Off-the-Tee #146
-0.443
Around-Green #55
+0.152
Tee-to-Green #123
-0.339
Total SG #68
+0.212
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.048 #97 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.551 #11 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.443 #146 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.152 #55 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.339 #123 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #101
302 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
55.1%
GIR % #145
62.0%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
94
Steven Fisk
78 45 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
52/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #121
-0.196
Putting #27
+0.389
Off-the-Tee #86
+0.006
Around-Green #97
-0.054
Tee-to-Green #115
-0.244
Total SG #78
+0.145
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.196 #121 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.389 #27 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.006 #86 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.054 #97 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.244 #115 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #47
309 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.0%
GIR % #79
65.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
95
Patrick Rodgers
82 45 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
52/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #111
-0.134
Putting #35
+0.312
Off-the-Tee #94
-0.050
Around-Green #92
-0.026
Tee-to-Green #111
-0.211
Total SG #82
+0.101
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.134 #111 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.312 #35 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.050 #94 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.026 #92 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.211 #111 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #49
308 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
54.3%
GIR % #107
64.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
96
Aldrich Potgieter
107 45 0.2% 1% 100%
PICK SCORE
52/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #116
-0.163
Putting #117
-0.247
Off-the-Tee #5
+0.659
Around-Green #158
-0.423
Tee-to-Green #86
+0.073
Total SG #107
-0.174
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.163 #116 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.247 #117 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.659 #5 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.423 #158 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.073 #86 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #1
328 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
53.0%
GIR % #93
65.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.2%
Top 5
0.8%
Top 10
1.2%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
97
Seamus Power
72 45 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
51/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #128
-0.275
Putting #31
+0.355
Off-the-Tee #111
-0.132
Around-Green #39
+0.218
Tee-to-Green #108
-0.188
Total SG #72
+0.166
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.275 #128 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.355 #31 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.132 #111 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.218 #39 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.188 #108 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #121
299 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.8%
GIR % #81
65.7%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
98
Jason Day
39 44 0.4% 2% 100%
PICK SCORE
54/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
2 previous top-10s at Augusta — proven course form provides a real edge. Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #148
-0.529
Putting #46
+0.254
Off-the-Tee #99
-0.056
Around-Green #7
+0.469
Tee-to-Green #98
-0.117
Total SG #79
+0.138
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.529 #148 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.254 #46 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.056 #99 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.469 #7 of 165 Strong
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.117 #98 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #86
304 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
59.5%
GIR % #51
67.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.4%
Top 5
1.3%
Top 10
2.2%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
2 top-10s from 14 starts
0
Wins
0
Top 5
2
Top 10
14
Starts
99
J.T. Poston
108 44 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
51/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #84
+0.056
Putting #110
-0.144
Off-the-Tee #67
+0.119
Around-Green #132
-0.222
Tee-to-Green #94
-0.047
Total SG #108
-0.191
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.056 #84 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.144 #110 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.119 #67 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.222 #132 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.047 #94 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #124
298 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
61.6%
GIR % #52
67.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
100
Kevin Roy
73 44 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
51/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #142
-0.466
Putting #34
+0.346
Off-the-Tee #88
+0.004
Around-Green #30
+0.281
Tee-to-Green #104
-0.181
Total SG #73
+0.165
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.466 #142 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.346 #34 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.004 #88 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.281 #30 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.181 #104 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #82
304 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
56.9%
GIR % #134
63.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
101
Mackenzie Hughes
85 43 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
51/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #122
-0.200
Putting #45
+0.268
Off-the-Tee #141
-0.394
Around-Green #13
+0.414
Tee-to-Green #105
-0.181
Total SG #85
+0.087
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.200 #122 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.268 #45 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.394 #141 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.414 #13 of 165 Strong
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.181 #105 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #62
306 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
52.5%
GIR % #94
65.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
102
Adam Svensson
122 43 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
51/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #57
+0.241
Putting #163
-0.708
Off-the-Tee #123
-0.226
Around-Green #27
+0.297
Tee-to-Green #59
+0.313
Total SG #122
-0.395
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.241 #57 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.708 #163 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.226 #123 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.297 #27 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.313 #59 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #155
291 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
61.8%
GIR % #46
67.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.1%
Top 10
0.2%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
103
Brian Harman
106 43 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
51/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #76
+0.112
Putting #97
-0.085
Off-the-Tee #136
-0.294
Around-Green #64
+0.100
Tee-to-Green #96
-0.083
Total SG #106
-0.168
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.112 #76 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.085 #97 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.294 #136 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.100 #64 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.083 #96 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #141
296 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
61.6%
GIR % #129
63.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
104
Chad Ramey
83 43 0.0% 1% 100%
PICK SCORE
50/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #126
-0.232
Putting #13
+0.521
Off-the-Tee #104
-0.082
Around-Green #110
-0.108
Tee-to-Green #127
-0.422
Total SG #83
+0.099
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.232 #126 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.521 #13 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.082 #104 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.108 #110 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.422 #127 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #102
302 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
56.0%
GIR % #114
64.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.4%
Top 10
0.7%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
105
Max Greyserman
104 43 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
50/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #89
+0.031
Putting #72
+0.041
Off-the-Tee #129
-0.253
Around-Green #73
+0.062
Tee-to-Green #101
-0.160
Total SG #104
-0.118
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.031 #89 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.041 #72 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.253 #129 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.062 #73 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.160 #101 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #33
312 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
52.1%
GIR % #96
65.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
106
Ricky Castillo
98 43 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
50/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #124
-0.212
Putting #76
+0.024
Off-the-Tee #79
+0.033
Around-Green #68
+0.087
Tee-to-Green #97
-0.092
Total SG #99
-0.068
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.212 #124 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.024 #76 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.033 #79 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.087 #68 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.092 #97 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #53
308 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.8%
GIR % #126
63.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
107
Lanto Griffin
92 42 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
50/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #135
-0.360
Putting #44
+0.273
Off-the-Tee #105
-0.102
Around-Green #41
+0.210
Tee-to-Green #116
-0.252
Total SG #92
+0.021
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.360 #135 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.273 #44 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.102 #105 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.210 #41 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.252 #116 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #136
297 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
58.4%
GIR % #56
66.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
108
S.H. Kim
86 42 0.3% 2% 100%
PICK SCORE
50/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #147
-0.524
Putting #32
+0.349
Off-the-Tee #60
+0.138
Around-Green #61
+0.109
Tee-to-Green #118
-0.277
Total SG #86
+0.072
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.524 #147 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.349 #32 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.138 #60 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.109 #61 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.277 #118 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #111
302 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
58.5%
GIR % #131
63.4%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.3%
Top 5
1.2%
Top 10
2.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
109
Mark Hubbard
126 42 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
50/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #43
+0.311
Putting #155
-0.503
Off-the-Tee #125
-0.229
Around-Green #94
-0.036
Tee-to-Green #88
+0.046
Total SG #126
-0.457
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.311 #43 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.503 #155 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.229 #125 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.036 #94 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.046 #88 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #139
296 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.7%
GIR % #91
65.4%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
110
Dan Brown
118 42 0.1% 1% 100%
PICK SCORE
50/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #79
+0.108
Putting #101
-0.098
Off-the-Tee #70
+0.076
Around-Green #156
-0.412
Tee-to-Green #113
-0.228
Total SG #118
-0.325
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.108 #79 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.098 #101 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.076 #70 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.412 #156 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.228 #113 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #122
299 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.7%
GIR % #73
66.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.1%
Top 5
0.7%
Top 10
1.1%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
111
William Mouw
120 41 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
50/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #82
+0.062
Putting #114
-0.220
Off-the-Tee #62
+0.135
Around-Green #150
-0.336
Tee-to-Green #100
-0.139
Total SG #120
-0.358
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.062 #82 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.220 #114 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.135 #62 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.336 #150 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.139 #100 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #41
310 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
61.3%
GIR % #58
66.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.1%
Top 10
0.5%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
112
Joel Dahmen
130 41 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
50/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #55
+0.253
Putting #156
-0.508
Off-the-Tee #57
+0.170
Around-Green #159
-0.457
Tee-to-Green #92
-0.035
Total SG #130
-0.542
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.253 #55 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.508 #156 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.170 #57 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.457 #159 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.035 #92 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #148
293 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
67.0%
GIR % #39
67.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
113
Matthieu Pavon
95 41 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
50/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #140
-0.451
Putting #26
+0.394
Off-the-Tee #77
+0.038
Around-Green #83
+0.026
Tee-to-Green #126
-0.387
Total SG #95
+0.007
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.451 #140 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.394 #26 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.038 #77 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.026 #83 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.387 #126 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #74
305 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.8%
GIR % #117
64.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.2%
Top 10
0.5%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
114
Denny McCarthy
101 41 0.2% 2% 100%
PICK SCORE
50/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #98
-0.056
Putting #23
+0.420
Off-the-Tee #151
-0.492
Around-Green #78
+0.053
Tee-to-Green #131
-0.495
Total SG #101
-0.075
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.056 #98 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.420 #23 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.492 #151 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.053 #78 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.495 #131 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #140
296 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
56.5%
GIR % #141
62.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.2%
Top 5
0.9%
Top 10
1.5%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
115
Patrick Fishburn
111 40 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
50/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #114
-0.140
Putting #81
+0.004
Off-the-Tee #83
+0.023
Around-Green #115
-0.137
Tee-to-Green #117
-0.254
Total SG #111
-0.249
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.140 #114 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.004 #81 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.023 #83 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.137 #115 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.254 #117 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #64
306 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
54.2%
GIR % #38
67.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
116
Kevin Yu
123 40 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
50/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #112
-0.137
Putting #158
-0.540
Off-the-Tee #61
+0.138
Around-Green #60
+0.113
Tee-to-Green #80
+0.113
Total SG #123
-0.426
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.137 #112 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.540 #158 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.138 #61 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.113 #60 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
+0.113 #80 of 165 Average
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #55
307 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
55.8%
GIR % #61
66.7%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
117
Max Homa
19 40 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
50/100
Solid
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #133
-0.336
Putting #56
+0.191
Off-the-Tee #72
+0.069
Around-Green #129
-0.216
Tee-to-Green #129
-0.483
Total SG #114
-0.292
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.336 #133 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.191 #56 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.069 #72 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.216 #129 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.483 #129 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #40
310 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.6%
GIR % #136
63.1%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
1 top-10s from 3 starts
0
Wins
1
Top 5
1
Top 10
3
Starts
118
Kevin Streelman
113 39 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
49/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #103
-0.082
Putting #73
+0.036
Off-the-Tee #128
-0.246
Around-Green #87
+0.014
Tee-to-Green #119
-0.314
Total SG #113
-0.278
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.082 #103 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.036 #73 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.246 #128 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.014 #87 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.314 #119 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #149
293 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.0%
GIR % #69
66.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
119
Sami Valimaki
117 39 0.1% 1% 100%
PICK SCORE
49/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #85
+0.048
Putting #60
+0.174
Off-the-Tee #139
-0.340
Around-Green #126
-0.203
Tee-to-Green #130
-0.494
Total SG #117
-0.320
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.048 #85 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.174 #60 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.340 #139 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.203 #126 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.494 #130 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #137
297 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
61.4%
GIR % #92
65.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.1%
Top 5
0.5%
Top 10
0.9%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
120
Hank Lebioda
127 39 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
49/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #83
+0.062
Putting #129
-0.308
Off-the-Tee #118
-0.195
Around-Green #96
-0.050
Tee-to-Green #106
-0.183
Total SG #127
-0.491
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.062 #83 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.308 #129 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.195 #118 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.050 #96 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.183 #106 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #142
296 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
54.4%
GIR % #28
68.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
121
David Lipsky
116 38 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
49/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #100
-0.060
Putting #83
-0.003
Off-the-Tee #148
-0.458
Around-Green #44
+0.203
Tee-to-Green #120
-0.315
Total SG #116
-0.318
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.060 #100 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.003 #83 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.458 #148 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.203 #44 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.315 #120 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #152
293 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
61.6%
GIR % #139
62.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
122
Adrien Saddier
119 38 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
48/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #130
-0.289
Putting #87
-0.016
Off-the-Tee #66
+0.126
Around-Green #122
-0.159
Tee-to-Green #121
-0.323
Total SG #119
-0.339
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.289 #130 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.016 #87 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.126 #66 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.159 #122 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.323 #121 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #90
303 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.8%
GIR % #72
66.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
123
Marco Penge
131 37 0.0% 1% 100%
PICK SCORE
48/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #134
-0.344
Putting #136
-0.358
Off-the-Tee #17
+0.507
Around-Green #152
-0.349
Tee-to-Green #107
-0.186
Total SG #131
-0.544
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.344 #134 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.358 #136 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.507 #17 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.349 #152 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.186 #107 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #7
321 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
49.1%
GIR % #133
63.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.4%
Top 10
0.7%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
124
Karl Vilips
115 37 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
48/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #96
-0.020
Putting #19
+0.471
Off-the-Tee #155
-0.519
Around-Green #134
-0.226
Tee-to-Green #150
-0.765
Total SG #115
-0.293
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.020 #96 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.471 #19 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.519 #155 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.226 #134 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.765 #150 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #92
303 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
51.0%
GIR % #137
63.0%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
125
Nico Echavarria
128 36 0.0% 21% 100%
PICK SCORE
47/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #81
+0.070
Putting #86
-0.013
Off-the-Tee #134
-0.287
Around-Green #146
-0.299
Tee-to-Green #136
-0.517
Total SG #128
-0.530
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.070 #81 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.013 #86 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.287 #134 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.299 #146 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.517 #136 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #146
294 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
60.4%
GIR % #130
63.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
20.9%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
126
Dylan Wu
140 36 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
47/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #68
+0.149
Putting #139
-0.365
Off-the-Tee #137
-0.312
Around-Green #123
-0.168
Tee-to-Green #122
-0.331
Total SG #140
-0.695
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.149 #68 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.365 #139 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.312 #137 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.168 #123 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.331 #122 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #130
298 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
59.5%
GIR % #14
69.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
127
Danny Walker
138 35 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
47/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #90
+0.024
Putting #149
-0.455
Off-the-Tee #149
-0.468
Around-Green #35
+0.251
Tee-to-Green #109
-0.193
Total SG #138
-0.649
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.024 #90 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.455 #149 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.468 #149 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.251 #35 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.193 #109 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #71
305 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
48.1%
GIR % #147
61.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.1%
Top 10
0.1%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
128
Matt Kuchar
109 35 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
47/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #136
-0.382
Putting #17
+0.494
Off-the-Tee #152
-0.497
Around-Green #51
+0.170
Tee-to-Green #146
-0.708
Total SG #109
-0.214
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.382 #136 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.494 #17 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.497 #152 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.170 #51 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.708 #146 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #161
285 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
61.7%
GIR % #151
61.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
129
Billy Horschel
134 35 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
47/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #91
+0.022
Putting #91
-0.054
Off-the-Tee #135
-0.293
Around-Green #137
-0.247
Tee-to-Green #137
-0.518
Total SG #134
-0.572
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.022 #91 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.054 #91 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.293 #135 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.247 #137 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.518 #137 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #116
300 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
53.9%
GIR % #127
63.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
130
Kensei Hirata
124 35 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
47/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #141
-0.464
Putting #99
-0.096
Off-the-Tee #68
+0.085
Around-Green #81
+0.037
Tee-to-Green #124
-0.342
Total SG #124
-0.438
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.464 #141 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.096 #99 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.085 #68 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.037 #81 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.342 #124 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #144
295 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
67.6%
GIR % #105
64.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.1%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
131
Jesper Svensson
128 35 0.1% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
47/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #156
-0.652
Putting #130
-0.314
Off-the-Tee #18
+0.505
Around-Green #100
-0.068
Tee-to-Green #112
-0.216
Total SG #129
-0.530
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.652 #156 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.314 #130 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.505 #18 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.068 #100 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.216 #112 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #9
320 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.6%
GIR % #119
64.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.1%
Top 5
0.3%
Top 10
0.5%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
132
Matti Schmid
125 34 0.1% 1% 100%
PICK SCORE
46/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #139
-0.446
Putting #69
+0.050
Off-the-Tee #82
+0.024
Around-Green #103
-0.074
Tee-to-Green #132
-0.496
Total SG #125
-0.446
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.446 #139 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.050 #69 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.024 #82 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.074 #103 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.496 #132 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #48
308 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
52.1%
GIR % #87
65.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.1%
Top 5
0.4%
Top 10
0.7%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
133
Emiliano Grillo
144 34 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
46/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #92
+0.017
Putting #162
-0.621
Off-the-Tee #92
-0.043
Around-Green #124
-0.178
Tee-to-Green #110
-0.204
Total SG #144
-0.825
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.017 #92 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.621 #162 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.043 #92 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.178 #124 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.204 #110 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #143
296 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
66.5%
GIR % #110
64.7%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
134
Takumi Kanaya
112 34 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
46/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #159
-0.779
Putting #38
+0.304
Off-the-Tee #80
+0.028
Around-Green #50
+0.177
Tee-to-Green #139
-0.574
Total SG #112
-0.270
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.779 #159 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.304 #38 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.028 #80 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.177 #50 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.574 #139 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #147
294 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
62.5%
GIR % #153
61.1%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
135
Chandler Blanchet
146 33 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
45/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Solid all-around stats with no glaring weakness — a consistent Augusta performer type. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #80
+0.092
Putting #148
-0.454
Off-the-Tee #74
+0.060
Around-Green #163
-0.598
Tee-to-Green #128
-0.446
Total SG #146
-0.900
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.092 #80 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.454 #148 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.060 #74 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.598 #163 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.446 #128 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #134
297 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
66.0%
GIR % #74
66.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
136
Tom Hoge
143 33 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
45/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #64
+0.189
Putting #98
-0.094
Off-the-Tee #156
-0.522
Around-Green #151
-0.340
Tee-to-Green #144
-0.674
Total SG #143
-0.767
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.189 #64 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.094 #98 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.522 #156 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.340 #151 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.674 #144 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #131
298 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.7%
GIR % #106
64.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
137
John VanDerLaan
139 33 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
45/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #127
-0.272
Putting #107
-0.127
Off-the-Tee #106
-0.103
Around-Green #121
-0.152
Tee-to-Green #138
-0.527
Total SG #139
-0.653
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.272 #127 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.127 #107 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.103 #106 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.152 #121 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.527 #138 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #75
305 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
58.4%
GIR % #32
68.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.3%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
138
Nick Dunlap
141 33 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
45/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #45
+0.294
Putting #109
-0.131
Off-the-Tee #163
-1.036
Around-Green #59
+0.128
Tee-to-Green #141
-0.614
Total SG #141
-0.744
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.294 #45 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.131 #109 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-1.036 #163 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.128 #59 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.614 #141 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #150
293 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
45.8%
GIR % #156
60.7%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
139
Neal Shipley
145 32 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
45/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #146
-0.517
Putting #150
-0.466
Off-the-Tee #1
+0.778
Around-Green #164
-0.626
Tee-to-Green #125
-0.365
Total SG #145
-0.832
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.517 #146 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.466 #150 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.778 #1 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.626 #164 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.365 #125 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #68
306 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
65.1%
GIR % #62
66.7%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.1%
Top 10
0.1%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
140
Luke Clanton
151 31 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
45/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #41
+0.316
Putting #159
-0.556
Off-the-Tee #145
-0.426
Around-Green #155
-0.394
Tee-to-Green #134
-0.504
Total SG #151
-1.060
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.316 #41 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.556 #159 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.426 #145 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.394 #155 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.504 #134 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #113
301 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
57.0%
GIR % #27
68.7%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
141
Kris Ventura
137 31 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
45/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #158
-0.680
Putting #79
+0.018
Off-the-Tee #29
+0.397
Around-Green #153
-0.357
Tee-to-Green #142
-0.640
Total SG #137
-0.622
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.680 #158 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.018 #79 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.397 #29 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.357 #153 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.640 #142 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #50
308 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
56.9%
GIR % #122
64.0%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.1%
Top 10
0.2%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
142
Jimmy Stanger
121 31 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
45/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #163
-1.220
Putting #55
+0.202
Off-the-Tee #10
+0.562
Around-Green #70
+0.072
Tee-to-Green #140
-0.585
Total SG #121
-0.383
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-1.220 #163 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.202 #55 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.562 #10 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.072 #70 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.585 #140 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #32
312 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
56.5%
GIR % #142
62.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
143
Pontus Nyholm
136 30 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
45/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #138
-0.425
Putting #68
+0.055
Off-the-Tee #140
-0.352
Around-Green #62
+0.102
Tee-to-Green #145
-0.674
Total SG #136
-0.619
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.425 #138 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.055 #68 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.352 #140 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.102 #62 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.674 #145 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #17
315 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
46.7%
GIR % #135
63.1%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.1%
Top 10
0.1%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
144
Brice Garnett
142 30 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
45/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #125
-0.218
Putting #102
-0.106
Off-the-Tee #142
-0.396
Around-Green #95
-0.036
Tee-to-Green #143
-0.650
Total SG #142
-0.756
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.218 #125 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.106 #102 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.396 #142 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.036 #95 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.650 #143 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #157
291 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
63.0%
GIR % #78
65.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
145
Lucas Glover
148 30 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
45/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #109
-0.108
Putting #147
-0.431
Off-the-Tee #117
-0.187
Around-Green #130
-0.221
Tee-to-Green #135
-0.515
Total SG #148
-0.946
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.108 #109 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.431 #147 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.187 #117 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.221 #130 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.515 #135 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #160
289 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
68.1%
GIR % #146
61.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
146
Jhonattan Vegas
149 29 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
44/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #120
-0.188
Putting #151
-0.476
Off-the-Tee #90
-0.031
Around-Green #143
-0.278
Tee-to-Green #133
-0.497
Total SG #149
-0.974
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.188 #120 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.476 #151 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.031 #90 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.278 #143 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.497 #133 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #58
307 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
56.5%
GIR % #89
65.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.1%
Top 10
0.2%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
147
Erik van Rooyen
132 29 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
44/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #155
-0.632
Putting #29
+0.372
Off-the-Tee #102
-0.077
Around-Green #128
-0.212
Tee-to-Green #153
-0.920
Total SG #132
-0.548
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.632 #155 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.372 #29 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.077 #102 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.212 #128 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.920 #153 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #67
306 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
56.2%
GIR % #143
62.2%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
148
Marcelo Rozo
160 26 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
42/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #52
+0.263
Putting #165
-1.390
Off-the-Tee #121
-0.200
Around-Green #135
-0.239
Tee-to-Green #103
-0.176
Total SG #160
-1.566
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.263 #52 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-1.390 #165 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.200 #121 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.239 #135 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.176 #103 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #156
291 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
62.9%
GIR % #83
65.7%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
149
Jeffrey Kang
152 26 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
42/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #105
-0.083
Putting #135
-0.353
Off-the-Tee #157
-0.698
Around-Green #76
+0.060
Tee-to-Green #147
-0.721
Total SG #152
-1.074
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.083 #105 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.353 #135 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.698 #157 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.060 #76 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.721 #147 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #128
298 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
49.3%
GIR % #160
60.1%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
150
Peter Malnati
135 26 0.1% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
42/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #153
-0.615
Putting #12
+0.524
Off-the-Tee #160
-0.764
Around-Green #36
+0.237
Tee-to-Green #159
-1.142
Total SG #135
-0.618
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.615 #153 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.524 #12 of 165 Strong
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.764 #160 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.237 #36 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-1.142 #159 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #153
293 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
50.0%
GIR % #159
60.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.1%
Top 5
0.3%
Top 10
0.5%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
151
Vince Whaley
133 26 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
42/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Putting is elite — a major asset on Augusta's fast Bermuda greens. Needs the ball-striking to keep up. Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #154
-0.617
Putting #1
+0.880
Off-the-Tee #153
-0.515
Around-Green #149
-0.316
Tee-to-Green #160
-1.448
Total SG #133
-0.568
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.617 #154 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.880 #1 of 165 Elite
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.515 #153 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.316 #149 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-1.448 #160 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #114
301 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
49.4%
GIR % #155
60.8%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
152
Garrick Higgo
150 24 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
41/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #151
-0.571
Putting #121
-0.277
Off-the-Tee #91
-0.041
Around-Green #119
-0.146
Tee-to-Green #149
-0.758
Total SG #150
-1.035
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.571 #151 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.277 #121 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.041 #91 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.146 #119 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.758 #149 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #99
302 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
56.0%
GIR % #149
61.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
153
Patton Kizzire
155 24 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
41/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #86
+0.038
Putting #140
-0.376
Off-the-Tee #165
-1.129
Around-Green #23
+0.308
Tee-to-Green #151
-0.783
Total SG #155
-1.159
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
+0.038 #86 of 165 Average
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.376 #140 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-1.129 #165 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.308 #23 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.783 #151 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #138
297 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
52.2%
GIR % #152
61.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
154
Davis Chatfield
153 24 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
41/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #149
-0.530
Putting #131
-0.335
Off-the-Tee #124
-0.228
Around-Green #88
+0.014
Tee-to-Green #148
-0.744
Total SG #153
-1.079
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.530 #149 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.335 #131 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.228 #124 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.014 #88 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.744 #148 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #162
284 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
64.0%
GIR % #144
62.0%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
155
Justin Lower
154 23 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
41/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #157
-0.667
Putting #116
-0.246
Off-the-Tee #103
-0.080
Around-Green #106
-0.092
Tee-to-Green #152
-0.839
Total SG #154
-1.085
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.667 #157 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.246 #116 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.080 #103 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.092 #106 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.839 #152 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #158
290 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
63.7%
GIR % #148
61.7%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.1%
Top 10
0.1%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
156
Chandler Phillips
147 21 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
40/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #161
-0.934
Putting #50
+0.228
Off-the-Tee #122
-0.216
Around-Green #89
+0.010
Tee-to-Green #158
-1.140
Total SG #147
-0.912
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.934 #161 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.228 #50 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.216 #122 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.010 #89 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-1.140 #158 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #132
298 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
58.4%
GIR % #164
56.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
157
Joe Highsmith
156 21 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
40/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #129
-0.285
Putting #134
-0.350
Off-the-Tee #150
-0.476
Around-Green #127
-0.206
Tee-to-Green #154
-0.966
Total SG #156
-1.317
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.285 #129 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.350 #134 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.476 #150 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.206 #127 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-0.966 #154 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #65
306 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
54.1%
GIR % #158
60.6%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
158
Adam Schenk
159 17 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
38/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #145
-0.511
Putting #152
-0.491
Off-the-Tee #143
-0.409
Around-Green #107
-0.096
Tee-to-Green #155
-1.016
Total SG #159
-1.507
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.511 #145 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.491 #152 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.409 #143 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.096 #107 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-1.016 #155 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #118
300 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
53.2%
GIR % #132
63.3%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
159
Christo Lamprecht
157 13 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
36/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #164
-1.264
Putting #132
-0.336
Off-the-Tee #97
-0.054
Around-Green #32
+0.259
Tee-to-Green #156
-1.059
Total SG #157
-1.395
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-1.264 #164 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.336 #132 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.054 #97 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
+0.259 #32 of 165 Average
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-1.059 #156 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #16
315 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
44.9%
GIR % #162
59.7%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
160
Davis Riley
158 13 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
36/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Approach game needs to fire — Augusta greens are unforgiving when attacking from poor positions.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #143
-0.493
Putting #36
+0.310
Off-the-Tee #164
-1.105
Around-Green #114
-0.122
Tee-to-Green #163
-1.720
Total SG #158
-1.410
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.493 #143 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
+0.310 #36 of 165 Average
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-1.105 #164 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.122 #114 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-1.720 #163 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #72
305 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
48.4%
GIR % #154
61.1%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
161
Brian Campbell
162 7 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
33/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #152
-0.575
Putting #105
-0.115
Off-the-Tee #162
-0.885
Around-Green #142
-0.272
Tee-to-Green #164
-1.732
Total SG #162
-1.847
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.575 #152 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.115 #105 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.885 #162 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.272 #142 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-1.732 #164 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #163
283 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
64.0%
GIR % #165
56.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
162
Rafael Campos
165 7 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
33/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #118
-0.183
Putting #157
-0.522
Off-the-Tee #147
-0.452
Around-Green #165
-1.046
Tee-to-Green #162
-1.681
Total SG #165
-2.203
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.183 #118 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.522 #157 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.452 #147 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-1.046 #165 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-1.681 #162 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #93
303 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
52.5%
GIR % #109
64.7%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
163
Alejandro Tosti
163 6 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
33/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider. First Masters appearance — no course history is a disadvantage that experience cannot replicate.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #160
-0.927
Putting #164
-1.022
Off-the-Tee #71
+0.076
Around-Green #139
-0.254
Tee-to-Green #157
-1.105
Total SG #163
-2.127
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.927 #160 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-1.022 #164 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.076 #71 of 165 Average
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.254 #139 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-1.105 #157 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #42
310 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
50.0%
GIR % #161
59.9%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
164
Gordon Sargent
161 2 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
31/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Big hitter who can overpower Augusta's par-5s, but par-5 conversion rate is key. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #165
-1.973
Putting #137
-0.358
Off-the-Tee #20
+0.498
Around-Green #91
-0.013
Tee-to-Green #161
-1.488
Total SG #161
-1.846
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-1.973 #165 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.358 #137 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
+0.498 #20 of 165 Strong
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.013 #91 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-1.488 #161 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #14
316 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
52.9%
GIR % #123
64.0%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.1%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
165
Cam Davis
164 0 0.0% 0% 100%
PICK SCORE
30/100
Speculative
Augusta Fit Model Edge History Win Prob
Driving distance is a concern at Augusta — may give away strokes on the four reachable par-5s. Neither approach nor putting numbers suggest Augusta compatibility at current form. Significant outsider.
Strokes Gained vs Field
Approach #162
-0.936
Putting #128
-0.301
Off-the-Tee #161
-0.772
Around-Green #117
-0.145
Tee-to-Green #165
-1.854
Total SG #164
-2.155
Augusta National Course Fit
SG: Approach28%
-0.936 #162 of 165 Weak
Most critical at Augusta
SG: Putting22%
-0.301 #128 of 165 Weak
Fast Bermuda greens
SG: Off-the-Tee20%
-0.772 #161 of 165 Weak
Par-5 reach & angles
SG: Around-Green15%
-0.145 #117 of 165 Weak
Sloped green complexes
SG: Tee-to-Green15%
-1.854 #165 of 165 Weak
Ball-striking composite
Course Metrics
Drive Dist #83
304 yds
Par-5 Avg #—
Drive Acc
53.2%
GIR % #163
59.5%
Model Probabilities
Win
0.0%
Top 5
0.0%
Top 10
0.0%
Make Cut
100.0%
Augusta History
Masters debutant
0
Wins
0
Top 5
0
Top 10
0
Starts
Rank Player Model Top 5% Top 10% Top 20% Win Odds Edge Value
Rank Player Model Cut % SG Total Win Odds
Ludvig Åberg
Score: 84
MODEL PICK
VS
Model pick
Model only
Matt Fitzpatrick
Score: 81
Matt Fitzpatrick
Score: 81
MODEL PICK
VS
Model pick
Model only
Cameron Young
Score: 79
Ludvig Åberg
Score: 84
MODEL PICK
VS
Model pick
Model only
Cameron Young
Score: 79
Cameron Young
Score: 79
MODEL PICK
VS
Model pick
Model only
Si Woo Kim
Score: 78
Matt Fitzpatrick
Score: 81
MODEL PICK
VS
Model pick
Model only
Si Woo Kim
Score: 78
Si Woo Kim
Score: 78
MODEL PICK
VS
Model pick
Model only
Adam Scott
Score: 77
Cameron Young
Score: 79
MODEL PICK
VS
Model pick
Model only
Adam Scott
Score: 77
Matt Fitzpatrick
Score: 81
MODEL PICK
VS
Model pick
Model only
Adam Scott
Score: 77
Ludvig Åberg
Score: 84
MODEL PICK
VS
Model pick
Model only
Si Woo Kim
Score: 78
Si Woo Kim
Score: 78
MODEL PICK
VS
Model pick
Model only
Collin Morikawa
Score: 76
Adam Scott
Score: 77
MODEL PICK
VS
Model pick
Model only
Collin Morikawa
Score: 76
Cameron Young
Score: 79
MODEL PICK
VS
Model pick
Model only
Collin Morikawa
Score: 76
3-ball markets not yet posted — check back Tuesday when pairings are released.
Augusta National Golf Club
Augusta, Georgia Est. 1933 Bobby Jones & Alister MacKenzie design
Par 72
Course Par
7,510
Yards
4
Par 5s
4
Par 3s
Bermuda
Green Surface
Key Winning Factors at Augusta
SG: Approach
The most critical stat at Augusta. Undulating Bermuda greens at extreme speed punish any approach that misses the correct shelf. Players ranked top-10 in SG: Approach win Masters at a dramatically higher rate.
SG: Putting
Augusta's greens are some of the fastest and most difficult on tour. Reads are unique — local knowledge matters but elite putting consistently separates contenders from the field.
Par-5 Scoring
Augusta has four reachable par-5s (2, 8, 13, 15). Bombers who reach in two set up eagle chances and generate 3–4 strokes on the field over the week. Par-5 dominance is the fastest path to a green jacket.
Driving Distance
Reaching the par-5s in two and attacking the short irons into the par-4s requires length. The modern Augusta layout favours distance over accuracy — the fairways are generous.
Course History
Augusta rewards experience. Players with multiple top-10s at the Masters carry institutional knowledge of shot shapes and pin positions that first-timers simply cannot replicate.
Augusta Model Weights (Masters)
SG: Off-the-Tee
20%
SG: Approach
28%
SG: Around-the-Green
15%
SG: Putting
22%
SG: Tee-to-Green
15%
Par-5 Bonus
Active